Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 14.686445 17.066608 19.653297 22.665957 26.070687 29.791466 34.157346
2025-08-31 10.062460 13.158324 16.866300 21.599774 27.443248 34.379775 43.191777
2025-09-07 7.990641 11.462805 15.945786 22.078167 30.156539 40.333168 54.004596
2025-09-14 6.598384 10.242524 15.254322 22.512308 32.589413 45.898294 64.577774
2025-09-21 5.351024 8.937550 14.164547 22.133844 33.727148 49.685030 72.946005
2025-09-28 4.347826 7.783566 13.070247 21.522187 34.350290 52.675276 80.298320
2025-10-05 4.032995 7.637302 13.430333 23.046224 38.132931 60.311588 94.614388
2025-10-12 3.703700 7.401974 13.597349 24.250445 41.487647 67.506293 108.705216
2025-10-19 3.266086 6.899121 13.247550 24.558947 43.432700 72.675788 120.060902
2025-10-26 2.873418 6.408320 12.843822 24.708889 45.094006 77.466877 131.069076
2025-11-02 2.475094 5.835666 12.213874 24.383749 45.909556 80.934993 140.169738
2025-11-09 2.105742 5.254039 11.485651 23.789853 46.187706 83.510699 147.945225
2025-11-16 1.753162 4.665497 10.709424 23.106808 46.400710 86.241088 156.577985
2025-11-23 1.415939 4.043777 9.784226 22.049276 45.880109 87.767209 163.460140
2025-11-30 1.265199 3.827737 9.662275 22.540878 48.235474 94.375406 179.279146
2025-12-07 1.130727 3.621699 9.528180 22.983675 50.521374 100.991169 195.474136
2025-12-14 0.959581 3.277890 9.029863 22.598482 51.152602 104.659975 206.709743
2025-12-21 0.801499 2.928335 8.458169 21.975720 51.235679 107.301103 216.232147
2025-12-28 0.779825 2.973397 8.847133 23.527410 55.862645 118.674418 242.105214
2026-01-04 0.741566 2.958996 9.084198 24.753305 59.899082 129.146643 266.829071
2026-01-11 0.665465 2.804884 8.938381 25.067335 62.026226 136.066879 285.305628
2026-01-18 0.591952 2.639550 8.736105 25.219960 63.809170 142.405875 302.989109
2026-01-25 0.510564 2.422676 8.356079 24.888999 64.493114 146.595097 316.773777